RBI projects 7.2% GDP growth for FY25, CPI inflation to moderate at 4.5%
The Hindu
RBI projects India's FY25 GDP growth at 7.2%, inflation at 4.5% post MPC meeting, with steady economic activity.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected India's real GDP growth for FY25 at 7.2 per cent, while CPI inflation for the fiscal year is expected to moderate to 4.5 per cent, post Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on Wednesday (October 9, 2024).
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Mr. Das said, "Real GDP growth for 2024-25 is projected at 7.2 per cent. With Q2 at 7 per cent, Q3 at 7.4 per cent and Q4 7.4 per cent. Real GDP growth for Q1 of next financial year that is 2025-26 is projected at 7.3 per cent and the risks are evenly balanced.
According to RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, growth for the fiscal year will be supported by robust quarterly performances.
However, Inflation in the third quarter is forecasted a little higher at 4.8 per cent, with further moderation anticipated in the fourth quarter when the kharif harvest comes.
However, RBI cautioned that the agricultural output remains susceptible to weather-related shocks, which could influence inflationary trends.
In contrast of India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the first quarter of FY25, Mr. Das said, "Real GDP grew by 6.7 per cent in the first quarter of this financial year, that is, 2024-2025, and this was led by a revival in private consumption and improvement in investment. The share of investment in GDP reached its highest level since 2012-2013. Government expenditure, on the other hand, contracted during the first quarter."
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