Poll Shows Trump's Guilty Verdict May Help Biden's Chances
HuffPost
Even a small drop in support could be decisive in such a close presidential election.
A New York Times poll released Wednesday found that Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 felony charges may have slightly improved President Joe Biden’s chances of beating him in November’s election.
The survey of nearly 2,000 voters previously polled by the Times found that the group favored Trump by just 1 percentage point post-conviction, down 2 points from where it was in April and earlier in May.
“While there’s no way to be sure whether their views reflect the broader electorate, the findings offer unusually clear evidence that the verdict has led some voters to reconsider their support for Mr. Trump,” the Times said of its poll’s findings.
Even a small loss of support for Trump could be decisive in such a close election. An amalgamation of polls tracked by FiveThirtyEight shows that Trump, the presumptive GOP nominee for president, is leading Biden by just 1.6 percentage points as of Thursday.
The Times’ findings come days after an ABC News/Ipsos poll shared similarly bad news for Trump. It found that 52% of independents and 67% of so-called double haters, people who dislike both Biden and Trump, believe the latter should cease his campaign in light of his conviction in the hush money trial.