Tracing BJP’s increasing dominance in Jammu since 1987 Assembly polls | In Charts
The Hindu
BJP won 25 of 37 seats in the Jammu division in the 2014 Assembly elections, which was significantly more than the 11 seats the party won in 2008. Since 1987, the BJP has been asserting its presence in Jammu, and it has now become one of its strongholds.
The results for the assembly elections in the Union Territory were declared on Tuesday, October 8, and the National Conference - Congress alliance bagged 48 of the 90 seats, forming a majority. But in the 43 seats of the Jammu division, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 29 of them, thereby maintaining its stronghold in the region.
Out of the 29 seats BJP won in Jammu, 14 of them were won with a margin of victory greater than 20% of the respective constituency’s vote share, as showcased in the map below, which depicts the winning party by constituency, and margin of victory.
As shown in the map below, in the 2014 elections, the 37 constituencies in the Jammu division, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 25 of them, and that too with a relatively higher margin of victory. This was a significant improvement from the 2008 elections, when BJP won just 11 seats, marking its journey in making the division one of its strongholds.
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In the 1987 Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections, in what would be BJP’s early years, the party won just 2 of the 27 seats it contested in Jammu. BJP candidates did finish as runner-ups in 6 constituencies, but they had lost with a relatively high margin of victory.
The graphic below shows how the party performed in the 1987, 1996, 2002, 2008, 2014, and 2024 election. Except 2002, when BJP won just a single seat, the party’s performance did slowly improve. The darker orange-shaded dots indicate the seats where BJP won, and the lighter orange-shaded dots indicate the seats where BJP candidates came in second. Again, barring the 2002 elections, more and more orange dots in the graphic below show how the party’s influence and performance has increased in Jammu.
In 2008, the party won 11 seats in Jammu, and also lost in Vijaypur, Gandhinagar, Samba, Udhampur, and Chhamb through faint margins. In 2014, however, it can be seen that BJP won 25 seats, with 11 of them having margins of victory over 20%. And now, in 2024, out of the 14 seats BJP lost, it came in second in 9, with 4 of them - Rajouri, Bani, Doda, and Thannamandi, lost in margins less than 7% of the constituencies’ vote share.
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