Rupee recovers from record lows to end 7 paise higher at 77.47 against dollar
The Hindu
Dollar declined on positive undertone in the risk assets and weak economic data
The rupee on May 17 recovered from its all-time intra day low of 77.79 to close higher by 7 paise on a stellar rally in domestic stock markets.
After opening lower at 77.67, the local unit plunged further to its all-time intra-day low of 77.79 due to a spike in crude oil prices and disappointing macroeconomic data.
However, a strong rally in domestic equities helped the rupee rebound and close at 77.48 (provisional), showing net gains of 7 paise over the last close of 77.55. The Forex market was closed on Monday on the account of Buddha Purnima.
The dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.41% to 103.75.
Brent crude futures, the global oil benchmark, surged 0.74% to $115.09 per barrel.
“The Indian rupee depreciated on Tuesday on a surge in crude oil prices and disappointing macroeconomic data. However, soft tone in the US Dollar and risk-on sentiments in global markets have cushioned the downside,” said Praveen Singh, AVP - Fundamental currencies and Commodities analyst, Sharekhan by BNP Paribas.
Wholesale price-based inflation soared to a record high of 15.08% in April mainly on account of spiralling prices of food, fuel and other commodities, which may prompt the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates in upcoming monetary policy review next month.
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The Union Budget unveiled on February 1, 2025, has come at a time of unprecedented global uncertainty and a flagging domestic economy. The real GDP growth is estimated at 6.4% for 2024-25 and between 6.3-6.8% for 2025-26, a far cry from >8 percent growth required annually to make India a developed nation by 2047. While much attention has been devoted to the demand stimulus through income tax cuts, not enough is said about the proposed reforms in urban development, tariff rationalisation, and regulatory simplification aimed at making Indian cities and corporates more competitive. Since the majority of economic activity is located in cities (urban areas account for ~55% of GDP) and produced by large corporates (~40% of the national output and 55% of India’s exports), the above-mentioned reforms have a pivotal role in improving India’s trend growth rate. Below we unpack each reform.