Holt Liberals project $549-million deficit in their first N.B. budget

The Holt Liberal government is projecting large budget deficits as far as the eye can see.

In his first provincial budget, Finance Minister René Legacy is projecting a fiscal shortfall of $549 million in the 2025-26 fiscal year.

That deficit could go as high as $599 million if the province draws on a $50 million contingency fund it has set aside to help New Brunswick businesses and workers cope with the impact of U.S. tariffs.

"Make no mistake: as this government's finance minister, it is difficult for me to stand here in front of you today announcing such a significant deficit," Legacy told reporters at a news conference.

And there's no return to balanced budgets on the horizon, either.

Legacy's four-year fiscal plan projects budget deficits — albeit smaller ones — in every year of the Liberals' mandate through 2028-29.

That is despite Premier Susan Holt's campaign promise to balance the budget in every year of her term.

In his budget speech, Legacy was unapologetic.

"We will not sacrifice fixing health and education, and addressing the very real affordability challenges New Brunswickers are facing or shirk our responsibility to tackle the impacts of tariffs head-on in favour of satisfying the bottom line," he said.

"For too long, government's singular focus has been on balanced budgets and debt reduction, which has served to the detriment of the needs of New Brunswickers. Fiscal responsibility can and should be measured in more ways than just the bottom line."

The new spending includes $30 million in health care to support new collaborative care clinics, the centrepiece of Holt's commitment to improve access to primary care. 

But overall, health spending in 2025-26 will increase only 1.8 per cent over what the province is spending this year. 

Economist Richard Saillant said the Liberals are actually increasing spending at a slower rate than the Progressive Conservative government of Blaine Higgs did.

But because the PCs had the benefit of large tax windfalls each year, it was able to stay in the black, he said.