Election Predictor With Near-Perfect Record Gives Major Clue On His 2024 Pick
HuffPost
History professor Allan Lichtman holds that his formula has accurately called every presidential election since 1984.
A history professor whose formula has successfully predicted the outcome of all but one presidential election since 1984 has indicated that President Joe Biden is tracking to win in 2024.
Allan Lichtman, who has been teaching at American University for five decades, uses a system of 13 “keys” to the White House to make his call.
In a recent interview with the Guardian, Lichtman noted that Biden has already got two keys under his belt: the incumbency key, and the contest key, after he faced no serious contenders for the incumbent party nomination.
“That’s two keys off the top. That means six more keys would have to fall to predict his defeat. A lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose,” Lichtman said.
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