Covid-19 vaccine success won’t eliminate virus risk, UK concludes

By the middle of this year, all adults in Britain are due to be offered a Covid-19 vaccine in what is on course to be the fastest inoculation rollout in a major Western country. But disease modelers advising the U.K. government recently made a sobering projection: 56,000 more Covid-19 deaths by the summer of next year, even if the country tiptoes out of lockdown and the vaccines work.

The conclusion: Businesses and governments around the world need to prepare to live with Covid-19, accepting that the virus won’t disappear but equally that lockdowns cannot go on forever once hospitalizations are brought down to manageable levels. "We cannot escape the fact that lifting lockdown will result in more cases, more hospitalizations and sadly more deaths," British Prime Minister Boris Johnson told Parliament on Monday as he mapped out a slow and conditional route out of lockdown. "There is therefore no credible route to a zero-Covid Britain or indeed a zero-Covid world."