Why Vancouver Island is shaping up to be a hot spot for strategic voting
CBC
A growing number of left-leaning voters across B.C. are thinking of voting strategically as polls show the province has some of the tightest races in the country.
JB Burrows, founder and managing director of SmartVoting.ca, a site that helps voters choose left-leaning candidates in their riding that it believes are most likely to win, says Vancouver Island, in particular, is an anomaly across Canada.
"There's no other place in this country where the parties that are not Conservative are so competitive with each other," Burrows told CBC News.
The seven ridings on Vancouver Island have traditionally swung back and forth from the Conservatives to the NDP. The Green Party is also a strong contender in the region, with co-leader Elizabeth May holding one of the party's two seats.
There hasn't been a Liberal MP on the island since 2011. But pollsters say that could change with this election as Carney and the Liberals gain support.
Meanwhile, adding another left-of-centre party to the mix of viable candidates is presenting a difficult choice for some voters.
"The island is still incredibly split," Burrows said.
Pollster Mario Canseco, president of Research Co, says strategic voting and concerns about vote-splitting aren't new or partisan issues.
Canseco says Conservative voters have been similarly worried in past elections when the right-leaning Reform Party and People's Party of Canada have had stronger support.
What's different this time, he says, is how early in the campaign talk of strategic voting has started.
"It's happening earlier because of the influence of Donald Trump," he told CBC News. "What is happening is a heightened level of concern about who forms the government."
Canseco says nearly a third of Canadians say that Canada-U.S. relations is the top issue for them, and it's pushing other issues like housing, the economy and the environment to the back.
But Canseco warns against basing decisions on data that shows riding-level numbers, which he says is often based on national numbers and doesn't usually take the influence of a specific candidate.
"It's a fun exercise. But it's not a riding level pool, right?"
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