The biggest winner in Liberal-NDP deal might be the next Conservative leader
Global News
The Liberal deal with the NDP gives the next Conservative leader three years to rebuild the party, raise money and build name recognition — a rare luxury for an opposition leader.
Conservative interim leader Candice Bergen called the Liberals’ deal with the NDP “backdoor socialism.” Leadership candidate Pierre Poilievre suggested it was a “coalition attack on our freedom and our country.” Patrick Brown referred to it as a “nightmare.”
But away from the podiums and the social media indignation, some Conservatives were quietly thanking Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh for striking a deal that could keep the Liberals in power through 2025.
“Three years to rebuild the party infrastructure, raise money, recruit candidates, prepare and road test policies. This is actually a huge gift to us,” one senior Tory campaigner, who agreed to speak to Global on the condition they not be named, said Tuesday.
“The more time Conservatives get to prepare, the more time (we) get to prepare.”
That’s because the next Conservative leader – whoever is chosen on Sept. 10 – can now bet on three years to rebuild the party, raise money and build up name recognition among the broader electorate.
Time is a rare luxury for a new opposition leader in a minority Parliament. Erin O’Toole had just a year between winning the leadership and facing voters in a general election. Andrew Scheer had roughly a year and a half. The Liberal Party under Stephane Dion and Michael Ignatieff had similar runways during Stephen Harper’s minority governments, with similar results.
But while the Liberal-NDP deal – which would see Singh’s New Democrats prop up the government on confidence votes in the House of Commons – could always collapse, the next Conservative leader is likely to have more time to get their own house in order before a general election.
Time is on the Conservatives’ side in another way. Trudeau told reporters that he still intends to lead the Liberal Party into the next election in 2025 – 10 years after his historic jump from third party to majority government.