Poll finds 2023 Poilievre ads spur same voter response as 2015 Trudeau ads
Global News
Innovative Research finds the Conservative Party of Canada has positioned itself as the party of 'hope' in much the same way the Liberals ahead of the 2015 election.
Just ahead of the 2015 election, the Liberal Party of Canada released a series of ads featuring its leader, Justin Trudeau, that seemed to seal the deal with much of the electorate and help Trudeau and the Liberals push out a tired and increasingly unpopular Conservative government.
Fast forward eight years, and the Conservative Party of Canada has run a series of ads featuring its leader, Pierre Poilievre, that appear to have had the same effect and may help seal the deal with an electorate that appears — at least right now — ready to sweep out a tired and increasingly unpopular government.
“What we’re seeing with Poilievre is that Poilievre is doing in 2023 what Trudeau did in 2015. He’s now grabbing the ‘hope agenda,'” said Greg Lyle of polling firm Innovative Research. “He’s becoming the party of hope. And Trudeau is now become the party of the status quo.”
Lyle’s firm tested those 2015 Liberal ads using a panel of 1,000 Canadians. His questionnaire at the time measured the emotional response those ads generated.
“The 2015 Trudeau ads were among the best we’ve ever tested,” Lyle said.
Innovative Research repeated that 2015 questionnaire with an online panel of 2,890 Canadians from Nov. 15 to Dec. 5 to test the emotional response to the recent series of Conservative television ads, some of which presented Poilievre in a softer light talking about his family and his background while others featured Poilievre speaking directly to camera about affordability and housing.
“And what’s really striking about it is normally what happens with a political ad is that the people that support the party that put the ad out like it and the people that don’t support that party don’t like it,” he continued.
Among the four English-language TV ads Innovative tested, the Conservative ad “We Had A Deal” tested best. In this ad, Poilievre, in a white T-shirt standing on the street he says he grew up on speaks directly to camera about the housing affordability crisis.