I'm a Democrat who can't help but wonder if GOP will snatch defeat from jaws of victory before Election Day

With six weeks to go, new polling shows Democrats hold a slight, but growing, edge when it comes to voter enthusiasm in the midterms – a remarkable shift from a few months ago.

Kevin Walling is a Democratic campaign strategist, former Biden 2020 campaign surrogate, vice president at HGCreative. Follow him on Twitter @KevinPWalling. 

With just six weeks until the election, new polling shows Democrats hold a slight, but growing, edge when it comes to voter enthusiasm in the upcoming midterms. There has been a remarkable shift from the start of summer, when Republicans held a nearly double-digit enthusiasm gap advantage. Now 60% of registered Democrats say they are "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting, compared with 57% for GOP voters. 

In the same poll from Morning Consult, Democrats also lead Republicans on the generic congressional ballot 48% to 44%, the largest gap the polling team has measured since the start of 2022. Of course, winning the popular vote in a midterm year does not guarantee that Democrats will hold the House of Representatives. In 2020, Democrats in Congress secured a 3.1% victory margin, while losing a handful of key down ballot races and barely holding onto power.