Gaza Death Toll Is At Least 40% Higher Than Reported, New Study Estimates
HuffPost
The study, published in The Lancet, reflects the reality that Gaza has been unable to count the dead due to Israel destroying the health care infrastructure.
A new independent study published in the Lancet medical journal estimates that Gaza’s death toll in Israel’s ongoing military offensive has been severely underreported — a finding that aligns with the very real challenges local officials continue to face in counting the Palestinian territory’s dead without the proper health care infrastructure.
The Gaza Ministry of Health (MOH) reports that 37,877 Palestinians were killed by violence in the first nine months of the military offensive, which began in October 2023 after Hamas’ deadly attack in Israel.
But according to researchers with the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), the number of Palestinians killed by violence in the same period is estimated to be closer to 64,260 – a whopping 41% higher than the ministry’s count. That number amounts to 1 in 35 inhabitants of Gaza’s estimated pre-war population.
“The high mortality rates shown by our study, combined with previous evidence, underscore the severe crisis in the Gaza Strip,” said the peer-reviewed LSHTM study published Thursday in The Lancet. “Our findings validate concerns raised by Palestinian and international organizations, including reputable human rights and humanitarian organizations and UN special rapporteurs, about the scale of civilian casualties.”
Based on that underreporting rate, the study estimates that the number of Palestinians killed by violence exceeds 70,000 as of October – not 41,909, as the MOH reported.