For the Giants, It’s Always Fourth-and-Too-Far

The Giants’ risk-averse offense may be as much to blame as injuries for the team’s 4-8 record.

It’s fourth-and-short in the opponent’s territory. Do you know what your head coach is doing?

If that coach is Joe Judge, he is probably ordering a punt. Or settling for a field goal. Or making another decision more likely to result in a narrow Giants loss than a narrow Giants victory.

Judge is among the worst fourth-down decision makers in the N.F.L., according to most analytical models. The EdjSports Critical Call Index, which calculates win probabilities based on the possible outcomes of every fourth-down decision, ranks Judge 27th overall. ESPN Stats and Info ranked Judge 28th overall entering Week 13.