Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup loss means they miss out on ultra rare feat
Global News
How historic would an Edmonton Oilers’ comeback Stanley Cup victory have been? One analyst says the team had just a 3.3% chance of winning after Game 3.
If the Edmonton Oilers had won the Stanley Cup, they would have secured their names in history not just for being champions but also for having achieved an incredibly rare feat: winning a championship after being down by three games in the final round of a best-of-seven series.
No team in Major League Baseball or the National Basketball Association has done it, though a few teams rallied victories in other playoff series.
The last — and only — NHL team to hoist Lord Stanley’s Cup after losing three games straight was the 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs.
“There just aren’t a lot of teams that are down 3-0 that have either the innate talent to bounce back from that or the mental fortitude especially to be able to win those consecutive games,” sports analyst Neil Paine told Global News.
Paine closely watches and calculates the statistics of games, and said the numbers reveal something even more impressive about an Oilers’ victory on Monday night, had it happened.
The team had just a 3.3 per cent chance of winning after Game 3, when the Florida Panthers won 4-3 and had outscored the Oilers 11-4 in the first three contests.
The 3.3 per cent is an Elo rating — a number determined by considering things like a team’s regular and post-season performance, its goal differential and even whether it was playing a home game, Paine said. It adjusts after every game.
“We have these ratings computed for every game in the history of the NHL going back to 1918,” he said, speaking from Bentonville, Ark.
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