Do the Liberals have a hope of reclaiming Regina-Wascana this election?
CBC
As the federal election looms, experts say they expect the Conservative Party of Canada to maintain its strong grip on Saskatchewan, but the Liberals could potentially break through in a handful of ridings.
Saskatchewan's 14 federal electoral districts have been entirely blue since 2019.
Experts have already highlighted Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River as district that could potentially change hands this election.
One of the other Saskatchewan seats that could be vulnerable to a surging Liberal Party is Regina-Wascana.
Daniel Westlake, an assistant professor of political studies at the University of Saskatchewan, and Éric Grenier, a polls analyst and the creator of thewrit.ca, agreed in separate interviews that the Liberals could put up a real fight in the district.
"It was really, aside from the northern riding [of Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River], the only place where the Liberals were marginally competitive," Grenier said.
What's not clear is whether that competitiveness could translate to a win.
The experts said that although the Liberals may have held Regina-Wascana for 25 years, that may have been due to the enduring popularity of Ralph Goodale, rather than significant support for the Liberals.
"I think it's going to be hard for the Liberals to win the riding with the candidate that doesn't have the kind of provincial popularity of Goodale," Westlake said.
For 25 years, Regina-Wascana was held by one man: Liberal MP Ralph Goodale.
From 1994 to 2019, Goodale was a resolute feature at community events in Regina.
In Ottawa, he served in the governments of Jean Chrétien, Paul Martin and Justin Trudeau in a variety of portfolios, including as minister of public safety and minister of finance.
Then, during the 2019 federal election, the Conservative Party rode a blue wave to sweep all 14 federal seats in Saskatchewan. Goodale was defeated by Conservative candidate Michael Kram, who remains the incumbent MP.
Goodale, the current high commissioner to the United Kingdom, remains the most recent Liberal MP from Saskatchewan.
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