
Conservatives would likely win a majority if an election was held today: Nanos
CTV
If an election was to take place today, the federal Conservatives would capture enough seats in the House of Commons to form a majority government, new monthly projections from Nanos Research shows.
If an election was to take place today, the federal Conservatives would capture enough seats in the House of Commons to form a majority government, new monthly projections from Nanos Research shows.
This data, coupled with the latest weekly ballot tracking numbers as well as Canadians' preferences on who they want as their prime minister, shows Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives have taken a commanding lead over Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberals.
The latest ballot tracking from Nanos has the Conservatives with about 38 per cent support as of Sept. 29, an increase of 5.5 percentage points over the previous four weeks.
This appears to have come at the expense of the Liberals, who have seen their support drop five percentage points to 26.5 per cent in that time.
The NDP gained half a percentage point in support and now sit at about 21 per cent, while the Bloc Quebecois dropped nearly a full percentage point to 6.2 per cent.
Support for the Greens remained unchanged at 5.7 per cent and the People's Party saw its vote share drop half a percentage point to two per cent.