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中美关税对峙暴露特朗普“弱点”

中美关税对峙暴露特朗普“弱点”

The New York Times
Monday, April 14, 2025 10:28 AM GMT

拥有绝对权威的习近平展现出他愿意且能够以国家利益的名义让人民忍受痛苦,中国的互联网上充斥着民族主义言论。特朗普则“受制”于金融市场、巨头富豪甚至自己的拥趸。

特朗普总统似乎并不介意他在全球范围内征收的关税引发股市大跌,数万亿美元的财富化为乌有。

“冷静点,”他向美国民众喊话。

然后到了上周三下午,面对金融动荡,特别是政府债券收益率的快速上升——这可能会动摇美元的主导地位和美国经济的基础,他做出了让步。上周五晚些时候,特朗普又对来自中国的智能手机、电脑、芯片和其他电子产品豁免了部分关税。

通过对数十国家暂缓加征关税90天并豁免部分电子产品关税,特朗普也是向主要对手、中国领导人习近平作出了让步。此前他一直与这位对手进行着一场“胆小鬼博弈”,有可能使世界上最大的两个经济体脱钩,并颠覆全球经济秩序。

习近平已然洞悉对手的软肋。

尽管在世界上一些地方看来,特朗普可能行事鲁莽且冷酷无情,但与之对峙的,却是惯于执着追求某些政策的习近平及其党国——即便这些政策导致了经济和人道灾难。

无论是中国政府的批评者还是支持者,许多中国人都有一个共识,即最终的结局可能取决于哪位领导人能够成功做到以国家利益的名义让人民忍受痛苦。

“关税,乃至经济制裁,都不是习近平的痛点,”笔名慕容雪村的中国流亡小说家郝群在X上写道,“他也不在意关税重压之下的民生疾苦。”

2017年,习近平举行仪式欢迎访华的特朗普。 Doug Mills/The New York Times

与特朗普不同,习近平并不会通过社交媒体平台与中国公众对话,尽管他控制着所有这些平台。他的一言一行都经过精心安排。要想了解他的真实想法是不可能的,因为除了对外展示的官方形象之外,公众对他几乎一无所知。不过,从过往的记录——他如何看待困难、他与中国公众的关系,以及他作为一个拥有14亿人口的国家的领导人——可以一窥他在与特朗普的对峙中可能做出的反应。

中国的互联网上充斥着“坚决反制、奉陪到底”的民族主义言论。

Read full story on The New York Times
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中国政府展开打击行动,防止稀土在未经北京许可的情况下出境。由于此前北京已停止稀土的合法出口,这一举措导致海外汽车和军工等企业的稀土资源短缺问题愈发严峻。

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