【双语财讯】世行上调2023中国经济增长预期至5.6%

6月6日，世界银行发布了最新一期《全球经济展望》，预计全球增长将从2022年的3.1%放缓至2023年的2.1%。

6月6日，世界银行发布了最新一期《全球经济展望》，预计全球增长将从2022年的3.1%放缓至2023年的2.1%。在中国以外的新兴市场和发展中经济体，增长率将从去年的4.1%下降至今年的2.9%。该报告预测中国经济今年增长5.6%，这与世行一月份的预测相比，调高了1.3个百分点。

The World Bank has predicted that China's economy will grow at 5.6 percent this year, up by 1.3 percentage points from its January forecast, while it has revised down projections for most economies, as it sees global growth on a precarious footing amid high interest rates.世界银行预测2023年中国经济将增长5.6%，较1月预测上调1.3个百分点，同时下调了对大多数经济体增长预期，该机构认为在利率上升的背景下全球增长受到影响。

This prospect for China is more optimistic than that outlined by the International Monetary Fund in April in its World Economic Outlook, which forecast the country's growth to stay at 5.2 percent this year, when the world is embarking on a rocky economic recovery road.这一预期较国际货币基金组织（IMF）4月份发布的《世界经济展望报告》对中国经济增长的预测更乐观，在世界经济艰难复苏的背景下，IMF预测2023年中国经济增速为5.2%。

In its Global Economic Prospects report released on Tuesday, the World Bank said that economic activity in China bounced back in early 2023, spurred by the country's optimized COVID-19 response measures, which drove consumer spending, particularly on domestic services.世界银行在6日发布的报告称，今年初，随着中国优化疫情防控措施，消费需求得到释放，尤其是国内服务业，推动了中国经济恢复。

China has set a target of around 5 percent for its GDP growth this year. It posted a growth rate of 4.5 percent year-on-year in the first quarter, a significant improvement from the 2.9 percent in the last quarter of 2022, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.中国今年设定了5%左右的GDP增长目标。国家统计局数据显示，一季度GDP同比增长4.5%，较2022年第四季度2.9%的增速有明显提高。

Global growth is projected to decelerate from 3.1 percent in 2022 to 2.1 percent in 2023, according to the World Bank report.世行报告称，预计全球增长将从2022年的3.1%放缓至2023年的2.1%。

This forecast is up by 0.4 percentage points compared with the global lender's January report, as activity in major advanced economies and some emerging markets and developing economies, or EMDEs, did not slow down as much as expected at the turn of the year.这一预测较1月预测上调0.4个百分点，世行认为，主要发达经济体和一些新兴市场和发展中经济体的活动并没有像年初预期的那样放缓。

"Notably, the rapid reopening of China's economy contributed materially to an upward revision to this year's growth forecast," it said.报告称：“值得注意的是，中国经济的强劲复苏是上调今年全球增长预期的主要原因。“

On the upside, a more vigorous consumption recovery could support growth for longer than expected in China, where inflation is expected to remain below target, allowing monetary policy to remain mildly accommodative, according to the report.报告称，中国更强劲的消费复苏对经济增长的支持时间可能长于预期，并且预计中国通胀仍将低于目标水平，从而使货币政策保持宽松。

The World Bank said the key downside risks for China's economy include continuing stress in the real estate sector, a sharper-than-anticipated slowdown in global growth and trade, and the lingering possibility of disruptive COVID-19 waves.

世界银行表示，中国经济面临的主要下行风险包括房地产行业的持续压力、全球增长和贸易放缓幅度超出预期，以及破坏性 COVID-19 浪潮挥之不去的可能性。